A trend in the market refers to the overall direction of prices. If prices are making higher highs and higher lows, it is deemed to be in an uptrend; and when it is making lower highs and lower lows, it is deemed to be in a downtrend.
A trend-following strategy seeks to trade with the general flow of the market. After all, there is the mantra ‘The trend is your friend.’
In essence, you want to swim in the direction of the tide, which is essentially the path of least resistance.
One of the best trend-following strategies is trading with moving averages.
Trend Trading with Moving Averages
Moving averages are one of the most potent technical analysis tools. They have stood the test of time because of their simplicity and versatility. Computed as the average prices of an asset over time, moving averages can help traders identify a prevailing trend and momentum, as well as confirm when the trend reverses.
Trend direction will simply be identified by the direction of the moving average. If a moving average is rising, then it means that prices are in an uptrend. The strength of a trend is determined by the slope of the moving average. The steeper the slope, the stronger the trend, and vice versa.
When trend following with moving averages, traders use the indicator’s line as a dynamic line of support and resistance. They provide a good opportunity for traders to join a trend when it has retraced. For instance, in an uptrend, traders can wait to place a buy order when the price has retraced to the moving average line.
Traders can also use multiple moving averages to confirm when a trend reversal has occurred. Shorter period moving averages respond faster to price movements than longer period ones.
Traders watch for moving average crosses to confirm potential trend reversals. For instance, consider that you are using a 21-period MA and a 55-period MA. If prices are trending higher but the 21-period MA crosses the 55-period MA downwards, it may be a confirmation signal that a downtrend is now in place.